Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.561777 0.621035 0.684975 0.759268 0.843436 0.936083 1.046122
2025-09-28 0.449600 0.527361 0.617469 0.730301 0.868781 1.034445 1.249507
2025-10-05 0.407091 0.496502 0.605148 0.748290 0.934011 1.169728 1.496224
2025-10-12 0.374834 0.471728 0.594082 0.762172 0.990633 1.295556 1.742355
2025-10-19 0.347015 0.448341 0.580508 0.768680 1.034930 1.406347 1.978651
2025-10-26 0.323511 0.427655 0.567414 0.772797 1.074069 1.511572 2.217759
2025-11-02 0.304607 0.411079 0.557694 0.779496 1.115914 1.623215 2.479093
2025-11-09 0.280940 0.385692 0.533068 0.761520 1.117983 1.673154 2.646477
2025-11-16 0.266756 0.372563 0.524672 0.766363 1.154581 1.779740 2.920759
2025-11-23 0.251111 0.356036 0.509774 0.759476 1.171109 1.854291 3.147996
2025-11-30 0.239879 0.345194 0.502429 0.763447 1.205086 1.960822 3.446957
2025-12-07 0.226130 0.329571 0.486525 0.752049 1.211631 2.019514 3.662477
2025-12-14 0.213473 0.315110 0.471853 0.742137 1.220904 2.086084 3.908035
2025-12-21 0.197966 0.295314 0.447480 0.714088 1.195608 2.086353 4.018955
2025-12-28 0.193164 0.292167 0.449690 0.731581 1.254081 2.251543 4.505416
2026-01-04 0.187927 0.287938 0.449732 0.745093 1.306210 2.410216 5.005224
2026-01-11 0.181747 0.281757 0.446022 0.751427 1.344986 2.546173 5.476789
2026-01-18 0.175610 0.275267 0.441312 0.755432 1.379365 2.676761 5.959264
2026-01-25 0.170322 0.269889 0.438139 0.761952 1.419243 2.823812 6.511274
2026-02-01 0.161556 0.258097 0.422975 0.744459 1.407906 2.855650 6.767052
2026-02-08 0.156812 0.253012 0.419446 0.749172 1.443605 2.998788 7.353930
2026-02-15 0.150679 0.245176 0.410479 0.742469 1.454047 3.083977 7.794626
2026-02-22 0.146443 0.240475 0.406953 0.746334 1.487917 3.229526 8.443665